An important factor to consider in geotechnical engineering is the site and the variability of its mechanical properties. In situ tests are interesting investigation techniques as they do not require soil sampling. Brazilian standards consider a minimum number of in situ tests for geotechnical projects; however, this number is not always sufficient to be representative of the study site. The geotechnical variability of a tropical soil site was evaluated based on the dynamic probing light (DPL), a simple and easy to use in situ test. The statistical analysis showed that the variability associated with the DPL data is epistemic; it could be reduced by increasing the number of tests. In this study it was found that the number of tests should be at least eight. As a way to understand the effect of site variability in geotechnical design, a probabilistic analysis using the first-order reliability method was used to evaluate the probability of the prediction of bearing capacity being against safety (Pp.a.s.) for a typical pounded pile. Bearing capacity and the Pp.a.s. showed the same trend as the resistance indexes, with the formation of a plateau after the eight tests.
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27 April 2026
Research Article|
March 13 2026
Probabilistic analysis and pile capacity from the dynamic probing light: a case study
Luís Pedro Rojas Herrera
;
School of Engineering,
São Paulo State University (UNESP)
, Bauru, Brazil
Corresponding author Luís Pedro Rojas Herrera (luis.rojas@unesp.br)
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Breno Padovezi Rocha
;
Breno Padovezi Rocha
School of Engineering,
São Paulo State University (UNESP)
, Ilha Solteira, Brazil
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Henrique Svizzero Boni
;
Henrique Svizzero Boni
School of Engineering,
São Paulo State University (UNESP)
, Bauru, Brazil
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Caio Gorla Nogueira
;
Caio Gorla Nogueira
School of Engineering,
São Paulo State University (UNESP)
, Bauru, Brazil
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Heraldo Luiz Giacheti
Heraldo Luiz Giacheti
School of Engineering,
São Paulo State University (UNESP)
, Bauru, Brazil
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Corresponding author Luís Pedro Rojas Herrera (luis.rojas@unesp.br)
Competing interest The authors declare that there are no competing interests.
Publisher: Emerald Publishing
Received:
September 20 2025
Accepted:
December 15 2025
Online ISSN: 1751-8563
Print ISSN: 1353-2618
Funding
Funding Group:
- Award Group:
- Funder(s): São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP
- Award Id(s): 2023/01882-9
- Funder(s):
- Funding Statement(s): This work was supported by the São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (Grant number 2023/01882-9).
© 2026 Emerald Publishing Limited
2026
Emerald Publishing Limited
Licensed re-use rights only
Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Geotechnical Engineering (2026) 179 (2): 201–218.
Article history
Received:
September 20 2025
Accepted:
December 15 2025
Citation
Herrera LPR, Rocha BP, Boni HS, Nogueira CG, Giacheti HL (2026), "Probabilistic analysis and pile capacity from the dynamic probing light: a case study". Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Geotechnical Engineering, Vol. 179 No. 2 pp. 201–218, doi: https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeen.25.00194
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