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The accelerating process of economic globalization and the increasingly fierce international competition are conducive to the promotion of the construction of the urban regional innovation system. Based on this, the Bayesian discriminant model was established in this paper, and the development stage of the regional innovation system was prejudged. Then according to the discriminant analysis, the results of the pre judgment were tested. In addition, based on the innovation system of urban planning and construction, a framework of urban planning analysis based on regional innovation system was put forward, which was used to guide regional planning and implementation, and was applied to the planning of Shanxi science and technology innovation city. It is proved that the fuzzy evaluation system based on Bayes is beneficial to the innovative planning of the new city.

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