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Significance
Dodik’s law would transfer responsibility for elections in RS from the Central Electoral Commission to its RS equivalent, severing the RS political system from BiH and enabling Dodik to control the outcome of elections or an independence referendum.
Impacts
Dodik’s support for Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic during his domestic difficulties is bringing rapprochement with Belgrade.
Western leaders’ hypocritical courting of Vucic for his control of the ‘Balkan’ immigration route will harm Western interests.
Russia has an incentive to exploit its popularity among Serbs to distract the West from fully backing Ukraine.
Keywords:
Bosnia-Hercegovina,
EUR,
Balkans,
Croatia,
EU,
Russia,
Serbia,
United States,
BOSNIA,
economy,
industry,
international relations,
politics,
constitution,
judicial,
legislation,
regional,
security,
aid,
election,
integration,
media,
military,
nationality,
peacekeeping,
property,
referendum,
sanctions
© Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2024
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