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Subject

The middle market suffers liquidity constraints.

Significance

Compared to other commodity markets, the diamond sector has fared reasonably well recently: the price for rough stones has oscillated around 145 dollars per carat (ct) on average in 2014, with little volatility. In December and January it plunged, then partly rebounded in March, currently standing at 132 dollars per ct. For De Beers, one of the global leaders in this sector, 2014 marked the third-best annual revenue of the past decade. While most commodities depend on growth projections in emerging countries, nearly 70% of diamond demand remains sourced from developed markets, where the diamond sector focuses on brand awareness.

Impacts

The Swiss franc's strength will dampen exports of luxury watches, an important source of demand for smaller 'watch diamonds'.

Resource nationalism is increasing pressure on producers to sort, cut and polish rough diamonds onshore regardless of local skills.

Recycling of 'previously owned' diamond jewellery will increase as China's economic slowdown deepens.

Faced with Western sanctions, Russia's Alrosa will clear inventory, with sales outstripping production.

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