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Subject

Uruguay's economic outlook.

Significance

The government has determined a fiscal adjustment, with tax increases for middle- and high-income earners, delays in public spending plans and a reform of military pensions, in a bid to address worsening public finances. It is the first time that the leftist Frente Amplio (FA), in government since 2005, has faced an adverse economic climate.

Impacts

Austerity in a context of 'stagflation' will generate political and trade union tensions.

Rising unemployment will drive a deterioration in real family incomes.

Growth will remain paltry this year and next.

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