Outlook for the aviation sector.
The federal government faces growing pressure to bail out the aviation industry, which is at risk of imminent collapse due to scarce foreign exchange (forex), rising fuel costs and cooling passenger demand. This would be Abuja's second bailout of the industry -- the first was in 2010 -- indicating longstanding structural, managerial and safety problems in the industry.
Demand for airline tickets to northeastern cities will remain low due to concerns over continuing instability there.
Well-managed carriers such as Rwandair will capture pan-African market share from carriers with governance woes, eg Arik Air.
Infrastructure improvements at Ivory Coast's main airport will help it become a rival aviation hub for business travellers.
