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Daily Briefing| February 06 2017

Singapore's frictions with China could worsen

Publisher: Oxford Analytica
Online ISSN: 2633-304X
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2017
Expert Briefings (2017)
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB217704
Subject

Singapore diplomacy outlook.

Significance

Singapore's defence ministry announced on January 30 that nine Terrex infantry carrier vehicles seized by Hong Kong customs on November 23 had been returned. The vehicles were detained in Hong Kong en route back from military exercises in Taiwan. Despite the resolution of this incident, Singapore's diplomatic relations will be tested further in 2017 as the city state is facing a regionally ascendant China and a new Asian foreign policy vacuum in Washington, following US President Donald Trump's inauguration.

Impacts

Despite the Terrex episode, Singapore's ties with Taiwan are unlikely to weaken.

Singapore will likely pursue alternatives to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, such as a non-US arrangement, in the short term.

The city state will also embrace the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, currently being negotiated.

Keywords: Singapore, AP, ASEAN, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, South-east Asia, Taiwan, United States, Vietnam, China, international relations, foreign policy, defence, security, foreign trade
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2017
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