President Paul Kagame's looming challenges.
Paul Kagame’s victory in the August 4 presidential elections with 98.63% of the vote has secured him a third term in office. Under a recent constitutional amendment, he could extend his rule until 2034. The degree of popular coercion required for such a landslide victory -- and the prospect of a presidency lasting 17 more years -- raise questions about the state of democracy and governance in Rwanda. While the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) has achieved significant socio-economic gains since coming to power, the country will face significant political, economic and social challenges over the course of Kagame’s seven-year term.
Restrictive measures against opposition parties, civil society and the media will increase resentment and create discord with donors.
Despite frictions, minimal corruption and effective development spending will encourage donors to continue their extensive aid programmes.
Attracting major foreign direct investment will be a challenge, with repercussions for growth and employment.
Instability in neighbouring countries will push more refugees into Rwanda, increasing pressure on land and resources.
