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Significance

The fact that the meeting was held in Egypt, rather than the usual meeting place of Qatar, signals a shift in Hamas-Cairo relations.

Impacts

In the short term, any expanded cooperation could see a conflagration in the Sinai as insurgents fear encirclement.

In the medium term, genuine Egyptian-Hamas rapprochement should go some way towards containing the insurgency.

A stable Sinai could help Egypt’s foundering tourism sector.

An open Rafah border crossing could see reconstruction start in earnest in Gaza and head off a looming humanitarian crisis.

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