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Significance
The fallout from the COVID-19 crisis has worsened relations between Washington and Beijing and increased tensions in the disputed waters. China is taking advantage of the pandemic by pressing its maritime claims.
Impacts
Heightened tensions in the South China Sea will have little effect on commercial shipping.
Fish stocks in the disputed waters will continue to fall as the ongoing dispute precludes agreement on regionwide fisheries management.
The EU, Japan, India and Australia will express concern about the situation in the South China Sea but not intervene directly.
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2020
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