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Significance
Moscow stresses its commitment to a diplomatic solution in Libya while building local alliances, currently with mixed success: the eastern forces it backs have retreated from Tripoli, faced by Turkish military support for the opposing UN-recognised government.
Impacts
As with Syria, Libya offers Russia opportunities to gain a geopolitical advantage over the West.
The United States may feel impelled to involve itself more in Libya to counter Russia.
Moscow will struggle to identify new partners in eastern Libya.
Keywords:
Russia,
Libya,
RUCIS,
Egypt,
NATO,
Syria,
Turkey,
United States,
RUSSIA/LIBYA,
international relations,
politics,
civil war,
foreign policy,
government,
military,
talks
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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