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Significance

Rajoelina faces a wide array of challenges as he looks towards the final two years of his current presidential term. These include severe tensions within his inner circle, a substantial economic crisis, problems linked to his management of the COVID-19 pandemic, and a major humanitarian crisis.

Impacts

Increasing domestic and international pressure will lead to an opening of borders, possibly by October.

The planned vaccine campaign will not prevent a new wave of COVID-19 infections.

Economic recovery will be slow.

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