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Significance
Their situation is increasingly precarious as Lebanese officials call for their forced return amid mounting domestic crises. The situation is getting bleaker, as Lebanon is dealing with its first cholera outbreak in three decades. There has been an uptick in Syrians, as well as Lebanese and Palestinians, attempting to migrate to Europe by sea.
Impacts
Brain drain, especially of medical personnel, will further erode the country’s capacity to deal with future crises.
Lebanon will likely increase pressure on international donors to pay more to continue to host refugees.
Sea migration attempts from Lebanon will rise in 2023.
Further currency devaluations will have only minor, temporary effects without banking sector reforms.
Keywords:
Lebanon,
ME/NAF,
Syria,
Europe,
IMF-World Bank,
United Nations,
economy,
international relations,
politics,
social,
foreign policy,
human rights,
immigration,
policy,
refugees,
regional
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2023
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