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Significance
Many are fleeing ethnically targeted violence conducted by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and affiliated militias. The UN estimates that the number of refugees could reach 600,000 by the end of the year.
Impacts
The government of President Mahamat Idriss Deby will seek to avoid being openly drawn into Sudan’s conflicts.
Deby will attempt to bring more opposition elements into the political transition.
West African states may seek Chadian military assistance if they decide to reverse the coup in Niger.
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2023
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