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Significance

President Andry Rajoelina is seeking re-election. A group of opposition presidential candidates are refusing to campaign until a number of demands are met, including the establishment of a new independent electoral commission, an electoral court and a transitional government.

Impacts

Weakened vanilla exports could worsen poverty.

An extended electoral crisis could generate rising tensions within the military.

Insecurity could worsen as a result of a post-electoral political crisis.

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