Humanitarian supply chain management (HSCM), operating in a complex environment, needs to be agile and robust. The advent of digital technologies has revolutionized HSCM operations, and thus, this study identifies and evaluates key drivers of artificial intelligence (AI) incorporation in HSCM.
In total, 20 key drivers were identified through a review of the relevant extant literature and finalized with experts’ inputs using a Likert scale survey. With a Kappa analysis, these drivers were classified into four groups: technical (T), organization (O), human (H) and institution (I). An integrated multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method of the Fermatean fuzzy set (FFS) analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) was used to rank the key drivers and explore their causal interrelationships.
Improved performance output, organizational preparedness, user acceptance and continued support, guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers and government support are the five key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM.
This study evaluates the key drivers of AI integration in HSCM with FFS-AHP-DEMATEL.
1. Introduction
The primary role of humanitarian supply chain management (HSCM) is to ensure the provision of the correct relief materials at the correct time. Generally, the functioning of both commercial supply chain management (CSCM) and HSCM may appear to be identical; however, the critical difference lies in the working circumstances (Dubey et al., 2022). HSCM is typically carried out in uncertain and challenging conditions with limited resources. As multiple stakeholders are involved in HSCM, its efficiency depends heavily on the degree of consensus among the stakeholders (Patil et al., 2023). Because of the complexity involved in HSCM, the stakeholders want a resilient and robust information management system during relief operations. Hence, the HSCM organizations are in a position to redesign the humanitarian supply chain network that provides agility, robustness, speed, flexibility, and resilience (Sathiya et al., 2023). Also, the demand for transparency and visibility in HSCM has increased in recent years (Beduschi, 2022). Digital technologies have been used in HSCM in the past; however, in recent times, advancements in computational power combined with vast amounts of data have eased the digitalization of HSCM (Marić et al., 2022). Moreover, the recent COVID-19 pandemic, which restricts human movements, emphasized the significance of HSCM digitalization. As physical movement is restricted during the COVID-19 pandemic, telehealth and remote monitoring techniques were used for treating patients (Zhang et al., 2024).
Digital technologies such as Artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, and big data analytics (BDA), are expected to bring revolution to HSCM (Sharma et al., 2022). AI provides computers with the capability to recognize patterns from a large amount of data based on experience and knowledge. Incorporating AI in HSCM has enhanced optimization and forecasting capabilities while providing competitiveness and effective risk management capabilities (Ramaswamy et al., 2022). Through the application of blockchain and AI technologies, Gao et al. (2023) found that the coordination and efficiency of COVID-19 vaccine supply chains improved. Similarly, supply chain integration and the environmental performance of hospitals have been enhanced with the incorporation of BDA and AI technologies (Benzidia et al., 2021). Shrivastav and Bag (2023) identified that the incorporation of AI improved global partnerships in HSCM, and enabled preparedness, improved resilience, and humanitarian logistics movement. Despite expressing concern about data privacy and security, the incorporation of AI in healthcare systems has been well-received by society (Ho et al., 2023; Wu et al., 2023). However, in a study by Altay et al. (2023), it has been claimed that the incorporation of digital technologies in HSCM is taking place at a slow pace and that many organizations are reluctant to adopt digital technologies. Likewise, even countries like Poland, South Korea, and the USA, which have renowned electronic health record systems, are encountering difficulties in the digitalization of HSCM (Arji et al., 2023; Naveen Kumar et al., 2024).
Several barriers may hamper the incorporation of digital technologies in HSCM; these barriers may be related to organization, technology, humans, strategy, and financial factors (Kabra et al., 2023). The lack of internal capacity of healthcare organizations and the absence of laws that enforce the incorporation of AI also slow the digitalization of HSCM (Choukolaei et al., 2023). Drivers such as organizations' involvement and culture will help in establishing a conducive environment for HSCM digitalization. While there are some difficulties in digitalizing HSCM, it has a good impact on the HSCM by enhancing information visibility and collaboration among stakeholders (Dubey, 2023). Accordingly, digital technologies like AI, blockchain, BDA, and simulation techniques are being employed in HSCM to improve resilience (Arji et al., 2023).
From the above information, it was understood that the digitalization of HSCM improves the robustness and agility; while there are many barriers to HSCM digitalization (Singh et al., 2023). Without overlooking the barriers, HSCM organizations must show interest in digitalizing SC activities. The major concern debated around the incorporation of digital technologies in HSCM is data privacy and security. Yet, with technological advancements, digital technologies have ensured the privacy and security of individual data (Altay et al., 2023). Earlier studies have discussed either the benefits of digitalization in HSCM (Patil et al., 2023; Sathiya et al., 2023) or the difficulties involved in digitizing such supply chains (Kabra et al., 2023; Sahebi et al., 2020). However, no previous study has investigated and established the key drivers for incorporating AI in HSCM. Despite the proven impact on commercial supply chain activities, there are many challenges involved in digitizing HSCM. Furthermore, there is limited evidence in the literature deliberating the drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM. Also, literature focusing on embracing AI in HSCM in developing countries is very scarce. The digital divide existing between developed and developing countries restrains the complete AI incorporation in HSCM. As a result, there is a disparity in receiving emergency help between developed and developing countries. In particular, the Indian healthcare industry which accounts for nearly $372 bn with a compound annual growth rate of 39% is still in an embryonic stage in AI incorporation in HSCM (Ramaswamy et al., 2022). Thus, there is a great scope for AI to leverage the Indian healthcare sector. To fill this research gap, this study proposes a theoretical framework for examining the key drivers of AI incorporation in Indian HSCM. The objectives of this study are to identify the key drivers in the application of AI in HSCM, the significance of each key driver, and the causal interrelationship among these. To guide these objectives, the following research questions are formulated:
What are the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM?
What is the weight significance and causal interrelationship of key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM?
This study contributes to the existing literature by identifying the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM. Also, the key drivers were categorized under the Technology, Organization, Human, and Institution (TOIH) framework and validated with the Kappa analysis. Further, it evaluates the weight significance and reveals the causal interrelationship of the key drivers. The outcome of this study will assist policymakers and supply chain practitioners in leveraging the digitalization of HSCM.
The reminder of the manuscript is structured as follow: Section 2 discusses earlier works on AI incorporation in HSCM and highlights research gaps. Research methodology used is explained in Section 3. The application of research methodology is illustrated in Section 4. Outcomes of the study are discussed in Section 5. Implications of the study are provided in Section 6. The study is concluded in Section 7 by highlighting the main contributions, limitations and future scope of the study.
2. Literature review
2.1 Artificial intelligence in humanitarian supply chain management
The digital revolution has brought many changes in business activities and has also changed the business paradigm. It has become mandatory for industrial communities to embrace digital technologies owing to the benefits offered. Patil et al. (2023) argue that digitalization processes can leverage the supply chain operational efficiency by improving information sharing and minimizing the bullwhip effect. A bullwhip effect is a condition in which a small fluctuation in demand can cause ripple effect in whole supply chain network. A study by Sharma et al. (2022) concluded that adopting AI in HSCM can enhance relationships, integration, and coordination among supply chain stakeholders. In a study, Gao et al. (2023) examined the potential of blockchain and AI in the coordination of supply chains during COVID-19 and found that the usage of such technologies enhanced coordination. Through a review, Pournader et al. (2021) found that the incorporation of AI in supply chain activities is slowly gaining momentum, and have also cautioned about the impediments to its adoption. In examining the impact of AI on the Indian healthcare system, Ramaswamy et al. (2022) identified that restrictive healthcare policies and laws are decelerating the digitization process. Meanwhile, Dubey et al. (2021) advocated that HSCM with AI-driven BDA helps in improving supply chain agility. Another study by Dubey et al. (2022) also claimed that AI-driven BDA will significantly enhance the agility, resilience, and performance of HSCM. A similar study by Benzidia et al. (2021) on AI-driven BDA insisted that the digitalization of HSCM improves environmental performance. Considering the development and evolution of information technology, Helo and Hao (2021) predicted that in the future, all supply chain activities such as planning, scheduling, and optimization will be assisted by AI technology. This prediction has been endorsed by Marić et al. (2022) in a review study on the role of emerging technologies in HSCM.
2.2 Key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM
Digital transition needs intense alteration in the whole supply chain management activities (Rohith and Madhusundar, 2023). The digital transformation of various processes and operations in HSCM is influenced by numerous drivers. Ease of documentation and improved agility in the supply chain activities were recognized as the key drivers in the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM by Gnaneshwar Reddy and Arumugam (2024) and Patil et al. (2023). A study by Petersson et al. (2022) regarding AI incorporation in HSCM, from the context of Sweden, identified improved collaboration and better information flow among the various stakeholders as the main drivers. Improved collaboration and information will improve the agility of supply chain activities. Cadden et al. (2022) argues that bringing change in the organizational culture will largely enhance AI incorporation in HSCM. It has also been highlighted that a change in organizational culture may increase the investment in the technological capability of the organization, which in turn eases the AI incorporation in supply chain activities. A similar study by Samad et al. (2022) that prioritized the enablers of AI in supply chain management identified improved connectivity, seamless information flow, and traceability as the major drivers for AI incorporation. In another study, Modgil et al. (2022) pointed out transparency, ensuring last-mile delivery, and improved agility as the major drivers necessitating AI incorporation in HSCM. In a study regarding the influence of digitalization in supply chain management, (Di Vaio et al., 2023) found that with AI it is possible to clearly define and examine the accountability of each stakeholder involved in supply chain activities. The key drivers were categorized under four areas, namely technology, organization, human, and institution, and are given in Table 1.
2.3 Research gaps
Like CSCM, the digitalization of HSCM is also of critical importance as it needs to be agile and robust. Studies by De Boeck et al. (2023) and Zhang et al. (2024) stressed the need for digitalizing HSCM while mentioning the potential impact of digital technologies in HSCM. Accordingly, several studies (Arji et al., 2023; Wu et al., 2023) highlighted the potential of digital technologies in improving the agility and robustness of HSCM. Apell and Eriksson (2023) insisted that the incorporation of AI in the healthcare system improves agility while cautioning about the preparedness of the healthcare sector. Earlier studies on the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM and their contributions along with the novelty of this study are provided in Table 2. Though several research works have been carried out on AI in HSCM, it mainly focuses on the advantages and potential impact of AI in HSCM. Few studies have discussed the challenges involved in incorporating AI in HSCM. However, no studies have focused on the key drivers that necessities AI incorporation in HSCM. To fill this gap, this study intends to identify the key drivers which motivate the incorporation of AI in HSCM. Further, to evaluate the key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM, this study uses an integrated Fermatean fuzzy set (FFS) – analytic hierarchy process (AHP) – Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) framework. Usage of combined AHP and DEMATEL in FFS context in HSCM is very scarce. In this work, AHP is used to evaluate the weight significance of the key drivers while DEMATEL is used to examine the causal interrelationship among the key drivers. Moreover, FFS is used in this work over fuzzy, grey and Pythagorean sets, as it offers flexible and robust results (Deng and Wang, 2022).
3. Research methodology
As seen in Figure 1, the study begins with the identification and validation of drivers in stage 1. Initially, literature relevant to AI incorporation in HSCM was collected. From this literature, a list of drivers was identified. Then, the identified drivers were checked for their relevance and validated based on the experts' input. The categorization of the drivers was confirmed by performing a kappa analysis.
The flowchart begins with a literature review, followed by identification of drivers for A I incorporation in H S C M. A Likert scale survey checks the relevance of the identified drivers, and Kappa analysis categorizes them. Stage 1 concludes here. Stage 2 starts with F F S-A H P-D E M A T E L to prioritize the drivers and examine causal interrelationships. The final step involves results and discussion, implications of the study, and conclusion.Research framework
The flowchart begins with a literature review, followed by identification of drivers for A I incorporation in H S C M. A Likert scale survey checks the relevance of the identified drivers, and Kappa analysis categorizes them. Stage 1 concludes here. Stage 2 starts with F F S-A H P-D E M A T E L to prioritize the drivers and examine causal interrelationships. The final step involves results and discussion, implications of the study, and conclusion.Research framework
3.1 Fermatean fuzzy set (FFS)
Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approaches are generally preferred when a problem in the study is influenced by several factors. Earlier, in the MCDM approach real or crisp numbers are used for evaluating the factors. However, these real or crisp numbers were criticized for not considering the vagueness and uncertainties in the data (Jiang et al., 2022). To address this criticism, (Zadeh, 1965) presented the fuzzy set concept. Since then, a number of fuzzy set extensions such as intuitionistic fuzzy set, Pythagorean fuzzy set, and rough fuzzy set have been developed and used (Alamoodi et al., 2022). The recent extension of the fuzzy set is FFS, proposed by Senapati and Yager (2020). In recent times, FFS has gained popularity among the research community as an effective tool for describing vagueness and uncertainty in complex problems (Deng and Wang, 2022). The main advantage of FFS over other fuzzy extensions is its criterion, i.e.; the cube root of membership and non-membership must be less than 1. It provides greater capability for FFS to identify ambiguous information. Furthermore, FFS offers more flexibility, and efficiency, and is less complex in analyzing the factors under consideration. The basic functions of FFS are as follow:
Suppose a universal set and the general form of FFS, in is given as shown below:
where and . Here, and indicates the degree of membership and non-membership of the element in the set .
The degree of indeterminacy is estimated using Eq. (2).
With Eq. (3), the Fermatean fuzzy weighted average (FFWA) is calculated.
where is the corresponding weight vector.
FFS score is estimated using Eq. (4).
where
3.2 Analytic hierarchy process (AHP)
In the second stage, the AHP technique is combined with FFS and is used to calculate the weight significance of the drivers. The AHP technique, introduced by Saaty (1980), is a decision-making method used to solve difficult problems influenced by several criteria. It is commonly used to calculate criteria weights by making a pairwise comparison of alternatives and criteria, calculating the significance values, and selecting the best alternative. The unique feature of AHP is that it allows decision-makers to include both objective and subjective concerns of the criteria under evaluation. Furthermore, in AHP, the problem is deconstructed into several groups and a hierarchical structure is built (Deretarla et al., 2023). For this study, the AHP technique was selected over other weight calculating methods like Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) and Best Worst Method (BWM) due to it is effectiveness in avoiding bias and predetermined categorization (Karuppiah and Sankaranarayanan, 2023). To improve the robustness, in this study, FFS and AHP were combined. The steps followed by the AHP technique are explained below:
Step 1: Construct a pairwise comparison matrix
where represents the impact of criteria over criteria
Step 2: Check the consistency of the matrix
To check the consistency, first, has to be calculated. For this, initially, the weight of the criteria has to be calculated.
where - largest Eigen value and – dimension of the matrix.
Step 3: Estimate the weights of the challenges
where refers to the weight of the challenges
3.3 Decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL)
DEMATEL technique was used in the second stage and with this technique, the causal relationship among the drivers is examined. DEMATEL, proposed by Gabus and Fontela (1972), is a popular MCDM method for analyzing the interrelationship among different factors. It depicts the interrelationship in a graph where the factors are grouped into cause-and-effect groups. Also, the prominence of each factor is calculated in the DEMATEL technique (Zhang et al., 2023). Following are the steps involved in the DEMATEL technique:
Step 3: Construct total relation matrix (T)
where “I” is the identity matrix.
where – sum of rows, – sum of columns, − elements of total relation matrix
Using value, the prominence of the key drivers is estimated. Likewise, using value, the key drivers are grouped into cause-and-effect groups.
4. Analysis of key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM
4.1 Validation of key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM
First, the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM were identified by following an extensive literature review. The literature review was conducted with the aim of identifying the key drivers that were considered earlier. Then, a team of ten experts with a minimum of ten years of work experience in HSCM was formed. The experts’ information is provided in Table 3. When compared to earlier studies, the number of experts considered in this study was deemed to be acceptable. For instance, (Lin et al., 2023; Shahrabi-Farahani et al., 2024) utilized five and six experts, respectively, for the studies to validate the factors. For the purpose of this study, the experts were approached to determine whether the key drivers collected were still relevant now. To determine their relevance, a questionnaire (Table A1 of Appendix) consisting of twenty key drivers identified through an extensive literature review along with a five-point Likert scale (1 – strongly disagree and 5 – strongly agree) was developed and given to the experts. An initial discussion was made with the experts to explain the purpose of this study. The reliability of the questionnaire was validated by calculating the Cronbach's alpha value, which was found to be 0.75 and hence acceptable (Taber, 2018). The identified key drivers were considered for further evaluation, only when they were agreed by at least five experts. All the twenty key drivers satisfied the threshold condition and hence were considered for further study. Based on their experience, the experts grouped the listed key drivers under four categories (Technology, Organization, Human, and Institution) based on the TOIH framework. The key drivers were grouped under each category based on their relevance. For instance, the key drivers coming under the technology category aimed at enhancing operational and productivity efficiency. Similarly, other key drivers were grouped under the TOIH framework. As earlier studies (Kumar et al., 2023; Patil et al., 2023) mentioned that the TOIH would help in better understanding the key area which needs focus for embracing new technologies, the TOIH framework was used in this work. Then, a Kappa analysis was conducted to validate the categorization of the experts, using a five-point Likert scale survey. Generally, a Kappa analysis is used to ensure consensus among the experts (Patil et al., 2023). For the present study, this analysis was used to measure the consensus on the grouping of the identified key drivers. The Kappa value calculated was 0.645, which indicates sufficient consensus among the experts (Patil et al., 2023). The key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM are included in Table 1.
Information about the experts
| Expert | Position | Experience (in years) | Organization type | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expert 1 | Technology support manager | 12 | Medical device company | Chennai |
| Expert 2 | Senior-level supply chain manager | 14 | HSCM | Delhi |
| Expert 3 | General manager | 12 | Technology solution providers | Gurugram |
| Expert 4 | Junior supply chain manager | 11 | Healthcare equipment supply company | Chennai |
| Expert 5 | General manager strategy | 15 | HSCM | Bangalore |
| Expert 6 | Professor | 13 | Academics | Chennai |
| Expert 7 | Deputy manager IT infrastructure | 12 | Technology solution providers | Noida |
| Expert 8 | Junior logistics manager | 11 | Pharmaceuticals company | Chennai |
| Expert 9 | Professor | 12 | Academics | Bangalore |
| Expert 10 | Senior logistics manager | 14 | HSCM | Delhi |
| Expert | Position | Experience (in years) | Organization type | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expert 1 | Technology support manager | 12 | Medical device company | Chennai |
| Expert 2 | Senior-level supply chain manager | 14 | HSCM | Delhi |
| Expert 3 | General manager | 12 | Technology solution providers | Gurugram |
| Expert 4 | Junior supply chain manager | 11 | Healthcare equipment supply company | Chennai |
| Expert 5 | General manager strategy | 15 | HSCM | Bangalore |
| Expert 6 | Professor | 13 | Academics | Chennai |
| Expert 7 | Deputy manager IT infrastructure | 12 | Technology solution providers | Noida |
| Expert 8 | Junior logistics manager | 11 | Pharmaceuticals company | Chennai |
| Expert 9 | Professor | 12 | Academics | Bangalore |
| Expert 10 | Senior logistics manager | 14 | HSCM | Delhi |
Source(s): Authors’ own contributions
4.2 Calculation of weights and exploring the causal relationship of key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM
The proposed integrated MCDM technique of FFS-AHP-DEMATEL was utilized to estimate the weights and explore the causal relationship of the key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM. For this, experts' ratings on each of the drivers were collected through a pairwise comparison questionnaire (Table A2 of Appendix). The questionnaire (Table A2 of Appendix) was prepared with the finalized key drivers. As a first step in FFS-AHP, the experts were requested to carry out pairwise comparisons between the drivers using the scale provided in Table 4. Then, the influence value given by the experts was converted into FFS numbers. With Eqs. (1) – (4), the FFS numbers were changed into crisp numbers. Moreover, the consistency of the pairwise comparison matrix was evaluated using Eqs. (6) – (10), and the consistency obtained ratio of 0.074 was considered satisfactory (Karuppiah and Sankaranarayanan, 2023). Finally, the weights of the key drivers were calculated using Eq. (11). The calculated weights of the key drivers are included in Table 4.
Linguistic scale and their corresponding FFS number
| Linguistic term | Influence value | FFS numbers |
|---|---|---|
| No influence (NO) | 0 | (0,1) |
| Very low Influence (VL) | 1 | (0.1, 0.75) |
| Low influence (L) | 2 | (0.4, 0.5) |
| High influence (H) | 3 | (0.7, 0.2) |
| Very high influence (VH) | 4 | (0.9, 0.1) |
| Linguistic term | Influence value | FFS numbers |
|---|---|---|
| No influence (NO) | 0 | (0,1) |
| Very low Influence (VL) | 1 | (0.1, 0.75) |
| Low influence (L) | 2 | (0.4, 0.5) |
| High influence (H) | 3 | (0.7, 0.2) |
| Very high influence (VH) | 4 | (0.9, 0.1) |
Source(s): Table courtesy of Karuppiah and Sankaranarayanan (2023)
Pairwise comparison matrix
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In FFS-DEMATEL, the pairwise comparison matrix formed in FFS-AHP was used. The pairwise comparison matrix was normalized using Eq. (12) and (13), and the normalized matrix was established. Then, a total relation matrix was constructed using Eq. (14). Using Eq. (15) and Eq. (16), and were calculated. The prominence of each driver was calculated using values while concerning the difference in values, the causal interrelationship among the drivers was calculated. These are shown in Table 5 and Figure 2.
A scatter plot showing causal relationships among key drivers. The plot features several data points, with the x-axis representing the sum of influence (m_i + n_i) and the y-axis representing the difference in influence (m_i - n_i). The data points are labeled with identifiers such as T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, H1, H2, H5, O1, O2, O3, O5, and I1. Green squares indicate cause drivers, while red squares indicate effect drivers. Arrows connect the points, illustrating the causal relationships. The plot shows clusters and patterns of influence among the drivers, with some points positioned higher on the y-axis indicating stronger causal effects. All values are approximated.Causal relationship of the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM
A scatter plot showing causal relationships among key drivers. The plot features several data points, with the x-axis representing the sum of influence (m_i + n_i) and the y-axis representing the difference in influence (m_i - n_i). The data points are labeled with identifiers such as T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, H1, H2, H5, O1, O2, O3, O5, and I1. Green squares indicate cause drivers, while red squares indicate effect drivers. Arrows connect the points, illustrating the causal relationships. The plot shows clusters and patterns of influence among the drivers, with some points positioned higher on the y-axis indicating stronger causal effects. All values are approximated.Causal relationship of the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM
Causal relationship and weight of key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM
| Key drivers | Rank | Category | Rank | Weight | Rank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | 0.386 | 0.733 | 1.119 | 13 | −0.347 | Effect | 17 | 0.01141 | 18 |
| T2 | 0.388 | 0.791 | 1.179 | 7 | −0.403 | Effect | 20 | 0.01140 | 19 |
| T3 | 0.413 | 0.675 | 1.088 | 19 | −0.262 | Effect | 11 | 0.01207 | 14 |
| T4 | 1.656 | 0.682 | 2.338 | 1 | 0.975 | Cause | 1 | 0.05000 | 1 |
| T5 | 0.375 | 0.751 | 1.127 | 11 | −0.376 | Effect | 18 | 0.01108 | 20 |
| O1 | 0.413 | 0.806 | 1.218 | 6 | −0.393 | Effect | 19 | 0.01193 | 16 |
| O2 | 0.421 | 0.704 | 1.124 | 12 | −0.283 | Effect | 15 | 0.01251 | 10 |
| O3 | 0.437 | 0.675 | 1.112 | 18 | −0.239 | Effect | 8 | 0.01280 | 7 |
| O4 | 0.443 | 0.670 | 1.113 | 16 | −0.226 | Effect | 6 | 0.01288 | 6 |
| O5 | 1.527 | 0.649 | 2.176 | 2 | −0.878 | Effect | 4 | 0.04695 | 2 |
| H1 | 0.423 | 0.690 | 1.113 | 17 | −0.266 | Effect | 13 | 0.01232 | 13 |
| H2 | 1.532 | 0.616 | 2.148 | 4 | 0.916 | Cause | 2 | 0.04652 | 3 |
| H3 | 0.427 | 0.722 | 1.149 | 8 | −0.296 | Effect | 16 | 0.01260 | 9 |
| H4 | 0.434 | 0.694 | 1.128 | 10 | −0.260 | Effect | 10 | 0.01241 | 12 |
| H5 | 1.535 | 0.640 | 2.175 | 3 | 0.895 | Cause | 3 | 0.04630 | 4 |
| I1 | 1.411 | 0.698 | 2.109 | 5 | 0.712 | Cause | 5 | 0.04284 | 5 |
| I2 | 0.405 | 0.668 | 1.073 | 20 | −0.263 | Effect | 12 | 0.01149 | 17 |
| I3 | 0.439 | 0.690 | 1.129 | 9 | −0.252 | Effect | 9 | 0.01248 | 11 |
| I4 | 0.421 | 0.694 | 1.115 | 15 | −0.273 | Effect | 14 | 0.01194 | 15 |
| I5 | 0.439 | 0.676 | 1.115 | 14 | −0.238 | Effect | 7 | 0.01263 | 8 |
| Key drivers | Rank | Category | Rank | Weight | Rank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | 0.386 | 0.733 | 1.119 | 13 | −0.347 | Effect | 17 | 0.01141 | 18 |
| T2 | 0.388 | 0.791 | 1.179 | 7 | −0.403 | Effect | 20 | 0.01140 | 19 |
| T3 | 0.413 | 0.675 | 1.088 | 19 | −0.262 | Effect | 11 | 0.01207 | 14 |
| T4 | 1.656 | 0.682 | 2.338 | 1 | 0.975 | Cause | 1 | 0.05000 | 1 |
| T5 | 0.375 | 0.751 | 1.127 | 11 | −0.376 | Effect | 18 | 0.01108 | 20 |
| O1 | 0.413 | 0.806 | 1.218 | 6 | −0.393 | Effect | 19 | 0.01193 | 16 |
| O2 | 0.421 | 0.704 | 1.124 | 12 | −0.283 | Effect | 15 | 0.01251 | 10 |
| O3 | 0.437 | 0.675 | 1.112 | 18 | −0.239 | Effect | 8 | 0.01280 | 7 |
| O4 | 0.443 | 0.670 | 1.113 | 16 | −0.226 | Effect | 6 | 0.01288 | 6 |
| O5 | 1.527 | 0.649 | 2.176 | 2 | −0.878 | Effect | 4 | 0.04695 | 2 |
| H1 | 0.423 | 0.690 | 1.113 | 17 | −0.266 | Effect | 13 | 0.01232 | 13 |
| H2 | 1.532 | 0.616 | 2.148 | 4 | 0.916 | Cause | 2 | 0.04652 | 3 |
| H3 | 0.427 | 0.722 | 1.149 | 8 | −0.296 | Effect | 16 | 0.01260 | 9 |
| H4 | 0.434 | 0.694 | 1.128 | 10 | −0.260 | Effect | 10 | 0.01241 | 12 |
| H5 | 1.535 | 0.640 | 2.175 | 3 | 0.895 | Cause | 3 | 0.04630 | 4 |
| I1 | 1.411 | 0.698 | 2.109 | 5 | 0.712 | Cause | 5 | 0.04284 | 5 |
| I2 | 0.405 | 0.668 | 1.073 | 20 | −0.263 | Effect | 12 | 0.01149 | 17 |
| I3 | 0.439 | 0.690 | 1.129 | 9 | −0.252 | Effect | 9 | 0.01248 | 11 |
| I4 | 0.421 | 0.694 | 1.115 | 15 | −0.273 | Effect | 14 | 0.01194 | 15 |
| I5 | 0.439 | 0.676 | 1.115 | 14 | −0.238 | Effect | 7 | 0.01263 | 8 |
Source(s): Authors’ own contributions
5. Results and discussion
According to the weights given in Table 5, the study identifies improved performance output (T4) as the most important key driver in the incorporation of AI in HSCM with the highest weight. The remaining key drivers are ranked accordingly based on the obtained weight as given in Table 5. The advent of digital technologies has changed the business paradigm. Furthermore, the continuous evolution of associated technologies has brought improved performance in all areas where it is applied (Tsang and Lee, 2022). Hence, it turned out to be necessary to adopt AI technology in supply chain management and its need is no different for HSCM. Moreover, there is an expectation that HSCM needs to be responsive and efficient. For this, HSCM must be agile and resilient. In enhancing agility and resilience, AI is anticipated to play a critical role. Dubey et al. (2022) advocated that by incorporating AI in HSCM it is possible to lower the information complexity, thereby increasing the agility, resilience, and performance of HSCM. Similarly, De Boeck et al. (2023) highlighted the necessity of AI inclusion in HSCM by stating the complexity involved in rescue operations, and the difficulty involved in maintaining relationships with various stakeholders. In measuring the effectiveness of AI technology in vaccine supply chains during COVID-19, Gao et al. (2023) found AI technology useful and meaningful in HSCM.
The next important key driver is organizational preparedness (O5). To improve performance and customer service, the organization always needs to keep improving its capability. For the same, organizations need to equip themselves with advanced technologies. As AI technology has a proven impact on organizational performance, incorporating AI technology has become indispensable for organizations (Kumar et al., 2023). For incorporating AI technology, the technological maturity of the organization is critical. Technological maturity determines the effective utilization of digital technologies. The third important key driver is data literacy and interpretation (H2). The workers involved in HSCM need to have sufficient knowledge and skills to interpret insights from the available data. Further, understanding the operation of AI algorithms is also important. Hence, HSCM workers are expected to have sufficient data literacy and interpretation skills (Ho et al., 2023). Then, the guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers (H5) is another important key driver in the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM. Since AI technology is in an infant stage, most of the existing healthcare workers are not accustomed to AI technology. Furthermore, there are possibilities that the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM may put the job security of existing healthcare workers at stake (Cefaliello and Kullmann, 2022). The fifth important key driver is government support (I1). The government has a crucial role in promoting AI technology not only in HSCM but also in other industrial applications. However, being a critical area, the incorporation of AI technology is more compelling for HSCM as it may help in establishing coordination among the various stakeholders involved and maintaining the information database (Dubey et al., 2021).
According to the values, the twenty key drivers analyzed in this study were grouped into cause-and-effect categories. The key drivers coming under the cause category need more focus as they tend to impact other key drivers. In this case, five key drivers fell under the cause category and improved performance output (T4) occupied the top position. The main function of HSCM is to assist the people affected. Furthermore, HSCM is mostly executed under uncertain situations (Karuppiah et al., 2021). In such a situation, HSCM needs to be resilient and agile. By incorporating AI technology, it is possible to mobilize the affected people quickly and also useful in finding the people under debris, e.g. after an earthquake. Moreover, AI technology summarizes spatial data from various data sources (Dubey et al., 2021). Next, data literacy and interpretation (H2) are the second important key drivers. While embracing new technologies, the workers initially face several challenges and the same is applicable for the HSCM workers with AI technologies. A study by Wu et al. (2023) insists that most HSCM workers lack adequate skills in data management and interpretation in relevance to AI technologies. Further, it has been underlined that most HSCM workers are semi-skilled in AI technologies. The guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers (H5) is the third most important key driver in AI adoption in HSCM. As AI technology keeps continuously advancing, the industrial workforce is facing difficulty in acquiring and being proficient with AI skill sets. A study by Petersson et al. (2022) advocates that healthcare workers are facing initial difficulties in working with AI technology.
Organizational preparedness (O5) is the fourth most important key driver in AI incorporation. To be agile, organizations involved in HSCM need to stay up-to-date and need to embrace the latest technologies. Furthermore, having a technical workforce is also critical. Hence, it is the responsibility of the organizations to train the existing workforce on AI technology (Dicuonzo et al., 2023). The fifth causal driver is government support (I1). The government sector is an important stakeholder in HSCM and it needs to establish an effective relationship with other involved stakeholders. A study by Apell and Eriksson (2023) has called for policy intervention by the government to increase AI technology resources and reframe vision and mission statements to enhance HSCM with AI technology.
Then, the prominence of each driver was analyzed and ranked as follows based on values: T4>O5>H5> H2>I1>O1>T2>H3>I3>H4>T5>O2>T1>I5>I4>O4>H1>O3>T3>I2. The top five key drivers based on prominence have already been discussed in detail previously. The sixth important key driver in AI incorporation is organization capacity (O1). It refers to the financial capability of an organization in investing in AI technology. Although AI technology has delivered many promising benefits, its success is deeply rooted in the financial capability of the organization. To lower the financial burden related to AI incorporation, it has been suggested and called for the involvement of government support (I1) to ensure the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM (Dubey et al., 2021). Next, the most important key driver is data quality and integrity (T2). In HSCM, having reliable data is important as it helps in estimating the level of preparedness for rescue operations or emergencies. In such a situation, AI technology will be efficacious by providing integrated reliable data. Technical expertise (H3) is also one of the important key drivers in the incorporation of AI technology with HSCM. A direct relationship can be drawn between the driver's technical expertise (H3) and the guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers (H5). A certain level of competence is expected from HSCM workers to work alongside AI technology. Presently, the global HSCM industry is in the nascent stage of AI incorporation and has not yet prepared fully to work with AI technology (Ho et al., 2023). Therefore, HSCM workers need to be properly trained to effectively work with AI technology.
6. Implications of the study
6.1 Theoretical contributions
This study renders’ valuable theoretical contributions to the existing HSCM literature. First, it sheds light on the key drivers that necessitate the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM. Although several earlier studies are exploring the role of AI technology in HSCM, many of these studies discuss the benefits and positive impacts (Dubey et al., 2022; Helo and Hao, 2021). Yet, there is a scarcity of studies focusing on the key drivers of AI technology incorporation in HSCM. Second, the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM are identified through a literature review and are grouped using inputs from industry experts based on the TOIH framework. By grouping the key drivers using the TOIH framework, it is possible to recognize the area in which organizations need to concentrate. Third, the key drivers are evaluated using an integrated FFS-AHP-DEMATEL framework. FFS has been sporadically used along with the MCDM technique. Additionally, with this integrated framework, the weight importance and causal interrelationship among the key drivers are analyzed. For sustaining in the competitive marketplace, understanding the significance and causal interrelationship among the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM is crucial and it can help organizations in gaining a competitive edge. The outcome of this study suggests improved performance output, organizational preparedness, user acceptance and continued support, guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers, and government support as the critical key drivers in facilitating the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM. The outcome of this study shows the focal points that need to be concentrated on by HSCM organizations.
6.2 Managerial implications
Based on the outcome, this study offers some managerial implications that can enable the incorporation of AI technology in HSCM. Improved performance output has been identified as the key driver in AI incorporation. AI-assisted HSCM can enhance and facilitate the management of healthcare supply chains. It helps, for example, in checking and tracing healthcare equipment, keeps data regarding various stakeholders involved, and ensures the privacy and security of individuals, which is a great social concern (Sharma et al., 2022). Moreover, incorporating AI technology in HSCM will align with the National Digital Health Mission (NDHM) 2020 of the Indian government (Kumar et al., 2023). Next, an important step that needs to be taken by HSCM organizations is to provide adequate training on AI technology for their existing workers. In this current digital market era, owning a knowledge-driven workforce has been mandatory for an organization to thrive. For this, HSCM organizations have to be prepared. Only foresight can help organizations sustain themselves in a volatile business environment. Hence, organizations have to be equipped with advanced technologies, change their organizational structure, and be ready to invest in digital technologies. From the government side, some initiative programs (e.g. FutureSkills PRIME, Youth for Unnati, and Vikas with AI) have been put in place to enhance technical skills (Joshi and Pramod, 2023). However, a public-private partnership can quicken the pace of generating a knowledgeable workforce. Furthermore, awareness regarding the impact of digital technologies on the well-being of humans and their usefulness in preparedness for emergencies has to be created in society. More than embracing the technologies, society is majorly concerned over privacy and security.
7. Conclusions
Digitalization of CSCM has improved the operational performance and agility of organizations and hence, it has become a primary goal for HSCM to digitalize their supply chain activities. The recent COVID-19 pandemic has given a greater push for the digitalization of HSCM. However, although there has been a large call for the digitalization of HSCM, many organizations are not fully aware of its importance. In recent times, AI has gained wide attention from HSCM practitioners as it helps in demand forecasting and imparts knowledge on the significance of digitalization. This study identifies and evaluates the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM using the TOIH framework from the Indian HSCM context. By reviewing the existing literature, this study identified twenty key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM. These key drivers were then grouped under the technology (T), organization (O), institution (I), and human (H) categories of the TOIH framework. Then, using a combination of FFS-AHP and FFS-DEMATEL, the key drivers were ranked and their causal interrelationships were explored. The outcome of this study indicates improved performance output, organizational preparedness, user acceptance and continued support, guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers, and government support as the five most important key drivers for HSCM organizations to adopt and deploy AI in their operations. Of these five key drivers, two fell within the human, one within technology, one under institution, and one under the organization categories. Thus, from the outcome, it is clear that the human, i.e. society, role is very critical in the digitalization of HSCM. Based on the outcome, implications were postulated for the HSCM stakeholders and other facilitators.
This study offers significant contributions. First, this study discusses the key drivers that compel AI incorporation in HSCM. Earlier studies have discussed the advantages and potential impact of digitalization on HSCM. However, studies assessing the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM are scant. Thus, this study is the first to discuss and explore the key drivers of AI incorporation in HSCM. Second, the key drivers were analyzed based on the TOIH framework. When technology is planned to be incorporated, factors under these categories need to be considered. Also, a Kappa analysis is conducted to confirm the categorization of key drivers. Next, this study used the FFS-AHP-DEMATEL technique, for calculating the weight significance and the causal interrelationship of the key drivers.
Like other studies, this study is not devoid of limitations. In this study, the key drivers were analyzed by following the TOIH framework, and hence, some other important drives such as societal and financial may have not been considered. Hence, in future studies, a more holistic perspective to consider other drivers that may not fall under the TOIH framework can be considered. Next, the outcome of this study is based on expert opinion from the logistics, supply chain, and IT domains. However, a representative from the government has not been involved. Therefore, in future studies, an expert from the government sector may be included in the expert panel. Moreover, only the weight significance and causal interrelationship among the key drivers have been investigated. Future studies can analyze the structural relationship of the key drivers using structural equation modeling (SEM) and interpretive structure modeling (ISM) techniques. This will provide better insights into the structural and hierarchical relationship among the drivers.
Data availability: The data are included in the paper.
References
Appendix
List of key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM
| Area | Key drivers | Explanation | References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology (T) | Interoperability (T1) | Indicates the handling and evaluation of the collected data to ensure better communication among stakeholders | Rojas Trejos et al. (2023), Samad et al. (2022) |
| Data quality and integrity (T2) | Refers to usability and credibility of data in terms of reliability and validity | Beduschi (2022), Patil et al. (2023) | |
| Technology advancement (T3) | Issues such as latency and security have been addressed with technological maturity | Kord and Samouei (2023), Samad et al. (2022) | |
| Improved performance output (T4) | Well-defined testing models and tools enhance the performance in the applied area | Kumar et al. (2023), Patil et al. (2023) | |
| Perceived advantages (T5) | It necessitates the adoption of technological advancements owing to anticipated benefits | Hosseini et al. (2023), Patil et al. (2023) | |
| Organization (O) | Organization capacity (O1) | The capability of the organization to invest and handle risks while adopting AI | Cadden et al. (2022) |
| Organizational involvement (O2) | Indicates the support extended by the organization in embracing AI | Cadden et al. (2022), Rahman et al. (2022) | |
| Competitive advantage (O3) | Provides a competitive advantage edge among the competitors in the dynamic business environment | Kumar et al. (2023), Modgil et al. (2022) | |
| Organizational culture (O4) | Refers to consensus among the stakeholders in accepting the adoption of new technology | Cadden et al. (2022) | |
| Organizational preparedness (O5) | Related to the foresightedness of the organization in adopting new technologies for the development of the organization | Dicuonzo et al. (2023), Samad et al. (2022) | |
| Human (H) | Ethical Considerations (H1) | Ensuring transparency and accountability in decision-making with AI | Kamran et al. (2023), Petersson et al. (2022) |
| Data literacy and interpretation (H2) | Humanitarian workers need analytical skills and domain knowledge to interpret data-driven insights from AI outputs | Petersson et al. (2022) | |
| Technical expertise (H3) | Availability of workers with technical competence | Cadden et al. (2022), Pournader et al. (2021) | |
| Training facility (H4) | Organizations must be able to train workers in AI | Beduschi (2022), Dohale et al. (2022) | |
| Guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers (H5) | AI adoption poses a threat to the job security of technically semi-skilled workers | Beduschi (2022), Kabra et al. (2023) | |
| Institution (I) | Government support (I1) | Financial and infrastructure assistance by the government helps in AI adoption | Kumar et al. (2023), Pournader et al. (2021) |
| Establishment of business collaboration (I2) | Helps in knowledge transfer and mutual benefit for the stakeholders involved | Dubey et al. (2022), Kumar et al. (2023) | |
| Expanded business viability (I3) | Helps in business expansion | Dubey et al. (2022), Kumar et al. (2023) | |
| Improves the functioning of health care sector (I4) | Addresses the problems involved in the healthcare sector | Cadden et al. (2022), Kumar et al. (2023) | |
| Business ecosystem management (I5) | Intricate relationship among the stakeholders and participants needs to be managed | Modgil et al. (2022), Di Vaio et al. (2023) |
| Area | Key drivers | Explanation | References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology (T) | Interoperability (T1) | Indicates the handling and evaluation of the collected data to ensure better communication among stakeholders | |
| Data quality and integrity (T2) | Refers to usability and credibility of data in terms of reliability and validity | ||
| Technology advancement (T3) | Issues such as latency and security have been addressed with technological maturity | ||
| Improved performance output (T4) | Well-defined testing models and tools enhance the performance in the applied area | ||
| Perceived advantages (T5) | It necessitates the adoption of technological advancements owing to anticipated benefits | ||
| Organization (O) | Organization capacity (O1) | The capability of the organization to invest and handle risks while adopting AI | |
| Organizational involvement (O2) | Indicates the support extended by the organization in embracing AI | ||
| Competitive advantage (O3) | Provides a competitive advantage edge among the competitors in the dynamic business environment | ||
| Organizational culture (O4) | Refers to consensus among the stakeholders in accepting the adoption of new technology | ||
| Organizational preparedness (O5) | Related to the foresightedness of the organization in adopting new technologies for the development of the organization | ||
| Human (H) | Ethical Considerations (H1) | Ensuring transparency and accountability in decision-making with AI | |
| Data literacy and interpretation (H2) | Humanitarian workers need analytical skills and domain knowledge to interpret data-driven insights from AI outputs | ||
| Technical expertise (H3) | Availability of workers with technical competence | ||
| Training facility (H4) | Organizations must be able to train workers in AI | ||
| Guarantee of job security for technologically semi-skilled workers (H5) | AI adoption poses a threat to the job security of technically semi-skilled workers | ||
| Institution (I) | Government support (I1) | Financial and infrastructure assistance by the government helps in AI adoption | |
| Establishment of business collaboration (I2) | Helps in knowledge transfer and mutual benefit for the stakeholders involved | ||
| Expanded business viability (I3) | Helps in business expansion | ||
| Improves the functioning of health care sector (I4) | Addresses the problems involved in the healthcare sector | ||
| Business ecosystem management (I5) | Intricate relationship among the stakeholders and participants needs to be managed |
Source(s): Authors’ own contributions
Earlier literature on AI in HSCM
| Authors | Contribution | Method(s) used | Research gap(s) | Contribution of this work |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumar et al. (2023) | Provided a list of critical success factors for AI incorporation in HSCM | Rough SWARA | Causal interrelationship among critical success factors has not been examined | The need for incorporating digital technologies in HSCM has been on the surge. Interestingly, many research works have supported and demanded the incorporation of AI technologies in HSCM. However, the key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM have not been explored. This research provides a list of key drivers an organization needs to consider in integrating AI in HSCM. Further, this work provides the weight significance of the key drivers and reveals the causal interrelationship of the key drivers |
| Apell and Eriksson (2023) | Emphasized on the benefits of incorporating AI in HSCM activities | Interviews | A real-time case study has not been carried out | |
| Petersson et al. (2022) | Identified the challenges involved in incorporating AI in HSCM | Semi-structured interviews | The role of organizational management in AI incorporation in HSCM has not been examined | |
| Wu et al. (2023) | Estimated the public perception of AI incorporation in the healthcare sector | Literature review | Role of government in incorporating AI in the healthcare sector has not been examined |
| Authors | Contribution | Method(s) used | Research gap(s) | Contribution of this work |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provided a list of critical success factors for AI incorporation in HSCM | Rough SWARA | Causal interrelationship among critical success factors has not been examined | The need for incorporating digital technologies in HSCM has been on the surge. Interestingly, many research works have supported and demanded the incorporation of AI technologies in HSCM. However, the key drivers for AI incorporation in HSCM have not been explored. This research provides a list of key drivers an organization needs to consider in integrating AI in HSCM. Further, this work provides the weight significance of the key drivers and reveals the causal interrelationship of the key drivers | |
| Emphasized on the benefits of incorporating AI in HSCM activities | Interviews | A real-time case study has not been carried out | ||
| Identified the challenges involved in incorporating AI in HSCM | Semi-structured interviews | The role of organizational management in AI incorporation in HSCM has not been examined | ||
| Estimated the public perception of AI incorporation in the healthcare sector | Literature review | Role of government in incorporating AI in the healthcare sector has not been examined |
Source(s): Authors’ own contributions


