... Publishing Limited 2020 Emerald Publishing Limited Licensed re-use rights only Property futures Strategic foresight Forecasting Scenario planning Alternative futures Strategic plans “Imagine Ahead – Plan Backwards” The coronavirus pandemic has impacted on all areas of our...

...Steven Laposa; Andrew Mueller Purpose The purpose of this paper is twofold: the authors initially survey a sample of literature published after the Great Recession that address macroeconomic and commercial real estate forecasting methods related to the Great Recession and compare significant...

...Nicole Braun Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of investor sentiment, measured with Google internet search data, on volatility forecasts of the US REIT market. Design/methodology/approach The author uses the S&P US REIT index and collects search volume data from...

...Marian Alexander Dietzel; Nicole Braun; Wolfgang Schäfers Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine internet search query data provided by “Google Trends”, with respect to its ability to serve as a sentiment indicator and improve commercial real estate forecasting models for transactions...

... drivers of retail yields in the sample of eight cities. The aim is to build a model that enables market participants to obtain base case yield forecasts. Design/methodology/approach A panel model is deployed in this study utilising a database of yields of eight years (2001‐2007). The small number...

...Simon Stevenson Purpose ARIMA models have been extensively examined in the context of the real estate market. The purpose of this paper is to examine issues relating to their application in a forecasting context. Specifically, the paper seeks to examine whether in‐sample measures of best‐fit...

.... Ben Sanderson is the corresponding author and can be contacted at: ben.sanderson@prupim.com © Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2006 Forecasting Office buildings World economy Rental value The importance of accurate forecasts in assisting in decision making for occupiers...

...Sotiris Tsolacos Purpose The paper seeks to evaluate accuracy and efficiency of consensus forecasts for all property rents and total returns in the UK. The aim of the paper is to investigate whether consensus forecasts, containing a high degree of judgement, are better than forecasts produced...

... evidence, can only attempt to replicate these calculations of worth in arriving at an estimate of exchange price. © MCB UP Limited 2003 Market surveys Real estate Forecasting Estimation Assets valuation 1. (1) Traditional valuation nethods: comparable method...

..., coupled with the continuation of negative real interest rates. © MCB UP Limited 2002 Housing Pricing Forecasting Marketing Hong Kong 1. Introduction Demand and supply are important determinants for housing prices. Buying a house not only satisfies individual demand for housing...

...Patrick J. Wilson; John Okunev Over the last decade or so there has been an increased interest in combining the forecasts from different models. Pooling the forecast outcomes from different models has been shown to improve out‐of‐sample forecast test statistics beyond any of the individual...

...Tony McGough; Sotiris Tsolacos; Olli Olkkonen The aim of this paper is to forecast the office property returns in Helsinki CBD using both short‐run and long‐run econometric specifications. Real economy, monetary and financial market indicators are included in these specifications to explain...

...Mike Fletcher; Paul Gallimore; Jean Mangan This paper is concerned as to whether it is more appropriate to use aggregate or disaggregate models in forecasting house prices using hedonic modelling. It is accepted that the implicit pricing of some of the attributes is not stable between locations...

...Russell Chaplin Modelling, predicting and forecasting commercial rents are now seen as necessary and explicit processes in real estate investment. Decisions on the prospects for specific investments, the real estate portfolio and multi‐asset portfolio are made as a result of these processes...

... on predictions or forecasts of future commercial property market performance as a tool to aid investment decisions. This paper seeks to conduct an ex post comparative evaluation exercise for “consensus” office rent models in the UK, common explanatory variables being derived from a literature review...

... is that as the market/property moves away from the “norm”, the method of valuation and analysis becomes unreliable and the advantage of consistency of approach disappears. © MCB UP Limited 1997 Databases Discounted cash flow Forecasting Valuation The valuation profession has always proffered...

... and collates the salient market information to be subsumed into the valuation, or calculation of worth, model. © MCB UP Limited 1997 Databases Discounted cash flow Forecasting Valuation The first part of this paper has covered the topic of value and worth. This part of the paper explores...

...Seow Eng Ong; Teck Ian Chew Property investment requires accurate market forecasts. The use of judgemental forecasting to predict property market performance is well established and widely practised. However, the need to deal with a large number of variables and to assess the impact of structural...

...Colin Jones Examines the economic basis of current approaches to analysing and forecasting the office property market. It considers both an aggregate regional and urban approach to these tasks, and contrasts these with a disaggregated urban/intra‐urban approach. Notes the need for local area...

... of analysis typically undertaken by appraisers and specifically how this is done by BCAA. Notes that these programmes integrate the typical valuation process with the requirements to manage and organise mass data files. Appraisals Canada Databases Forecasting Property Valuation Appraisal Database...