... the permission of the Darden School Foundation. mortgage crisis financial crisis simulation risk analysis regression spreadsheet real estate risk shifting leverage decision analysis uncertainty statistics exam case NPV. probability regression modeling Banking/Finance/Insurance...

... an unsuccessful website and sell the technology; switch the technology if the website is good, expand, buyout. Decision trees and Monte Carlo simulations are used to value these options, which make the opportunity look very attractive. option valuation simulation valuation decision trees Technology...

... decision analysis course involving subjective probability assessment, decision tree modeling, simulation, real options, and game theory. In the analysis of this case, a student is expected to utilize ideas from all five of these areas. Copyright © 2008 by the University of Virginia Darden School...